Meeting documents

Cabinet
Wednesday, 21 June 2006

CA210606-06

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ITEM CA6

CABINET – 21 JUNE 2006

FINANCIAL MONITORING

Report by Head of Finance & Procurement

Summary

  1. This is the first financial monitoring report for the 2006/07 financial year and covers the period up to the end of April 2006 for revenue and capital. Given the difficulties involved in forecasting year-end outturn based on a single month’s actuals this report is largely on an exceptions basis, focusing on key risk areas identified as part of the budget process and picking up issues arising from the 2005/06 outturn position.
  2. The 2006/07 revenue budget was approved by Council in February 2006. Subsequent budget reallocations to reflect directorate changes, including realignment, and other factors, are being considered by Cabinet on 6 June and Council on 20 June. Once approved, these will be used for the Council’s published budget book and form the base for future monitoring reports. Proposed 2006/07 revenue budgets for each of the Directorates are as follows:

  3.  

    £000

    Children, Young People & Families

    72,411

    Social & Community Services

    139,827

    Environment & Economy

    57,618

    Community Safety

    22,831

    Resources & Chief Executive’s Office

    8,210

     

    300,897

  4. Information relating to Directorates is summarised within this report and individual reports for each Directorate are in the Members’ Resource Centre.
  5. Annexes

  6. The following annexes are attached:
  7. Revenue Annex 1 Forecast Revenue Balances at Year End (download as .doc file)

    Capital Annex 2 Project Appraisal ED650 (download as .doc file)

    Resource Appraisal (download as .doc file)

    PART 1 - REVENUE

  8. The main issues on the revenue budget for each directorate are set out below:
  9. Children, Young People & Families

  10. Across the Children, Young People & Families Directorate the impact on budgets following realignment requires extensive budget monitoring to ensure sustained service delivery and budgetary control. A realignment sub-group consisting of the two directorates’ business managers and officers from both directorates is in place to identify potential financial and service delivery risk areas.
  11. The Home to School Transport budget represents a high financial risk in 2006/07 and rigorous monitoring arrangements have been implemented. Any reductions in the number of Out of County placements may put pressure on the Home to School Transport budget and the relationship between these two budgets will be closely monitored.
  12. For Early Years & Family Support a review is currently being undertaken to identify the full year effect of current levels of commitments. The review will also help to identify and develop more accurate forecasting and management information. The second part of the review will undertake a benchmarking exercise on our statistical neighbours to identify accurate cost comparisons. This budget area represents a high financial risk for 2006/07 and rigorous monitoring arrangements are in place.
  13. The Provisional Outturn Report includes proposals to carry-forward an overspend on the former Children & Families service. A supplementary estimate of £0.094m is requested to meet the element of the overspend not provided for within the 2006/07 budget or met from the virement of underspends carried-forward on other budget heads.
  14. The Premature Retirement Compensation (PRC) budget is cash limited for 2006/07 and therefore no early retirements on grounds of ‘efficiency of the service’ will be approved once this level is reached. However, redundancy cases, whether voluntary or compulsory, are a statutory entitlement and have to be paid in accordance with the Council policy for early retirement and redundancy and this could therefore lead to a pressure within this area. The majority of redundancies will be received by the end of July and early indications are that the budget will be sufficient to meet the claims. It may therefore mean that no new applications for early retirement on ‘efficiency of the service’ grounds can be considered from teachers and other staff for this financial year. In addition, schools are now required to pay for the employer lump sum element of ‘efficiency of the service’ early retirements, either by paying for the actual employer lump sum costs or by paying through an insurance scheme based on the number of teaching staff within the school. This contribution will supplement the budget available.
  15. Social & Community Services

  16. For the Social & Community Services Directorate the area of greatest concern at this stage is Cultural and Adult Learning Services, with a forecast overspend of £0.994m. No material pressures have been identified yet in Cultural Services or the Music Services. However, Adult Learning is experiencing significant pressures as a result of the reduction of the Learning and Skills Council grant. A report on proposals to bring the expenditure in line with income is elsewhere on this agenda.
  17. The Provisional Outturn Report includes proposals to carry-forward an overspend on the Adult Learning service. A supplementary estimate of £0.188m is requested to meet this overspend.
  18. Within Adult Services one of the main risks is meeting the efficiency savings for the Older People service. A key part of this is the significant savings to be made in the negotiations of Home Care and Residential contracts. A new schedule has been developed to highlight any potential problems early in the financial year in order that corrective action can be taken. Arrangements for close monitoring of the achievement of efficiency savings have already been put in place. There may also be risks around the new pooling arrangements for Learning Disabilities but at this stage these are unquantified.
  19. Achieving the cuts on the Supporting People budget required to manage within the reduced funding levels is giving rise to pressures for this area. Plans are in place to address these and the success of these will be reflected in future reports.
  20. Environment & Economy

  21. At this stage the Environment & Economy Directorate is predicting to deliver its services within budget this year, but recognises that there are areas of risk that must be managed.
  22. The Highways Management service has to realise efficiency savings of £0.527m in 2006/07 by increasing contract efficiencies and generating additional income. There is a possibility that income targets may not be met, but until a reasonable trend in income realisation is available it is difficult to quantify the size of any shortfall.
  23. After recent experience of large increases in energy costs, this is a potential risk area. At the time of writing this report energy contracts are in the process of being signed. It is anticipated that any additional costs over and above that allowed for in the budget will be quantified for the financial monitoring report to the Cabinet in July.
  24. The Waste Management service has a potential risk of materially under or overspending by the year end, although action will clearly be taken to manage this down as far as possible. A carry-forward of £0.148m has been requested in the Provisional Outturn Report to support the waste treatment procurement process, which also received an additional £0.200m in the budget setting round for each of the three years from 2006/07 to 2008/09. The renegotiation of the Dix Pit contract is expected to realise £0.100m savings, however hazardous waste spending is increasing, a pressure that is over and above those identified in the 2006/07 budget setting process.
  25. The service underspent by £0.440m in 2005/06, principally in Waste Recycling Centres. In the 2006/07 budget there is a reduction of a similar amount for reduced tonnage. Expected tonnage levels of 2006/07 will need to be reviewed in the light of 2005/06 experience. Any savings arising from landfill tonnages will be transferred to the Waste Management Reserve, subject to achieving an overall breakeven position for the service.
  26. Community Safety

  27. After allowing for variations to budgets which are recognised under the Council’s budget management arrangements to be outside the control of the Directorate, the Fire & Rescue Service underspent by £0.165m in 2005/06. £0.160m of this related to previously reported commitments, namely Radio Replacement/Fire Control Project Manager (£0.050m), delay in delivery of breathing apparatus replacement sets (£0.080m) and Fire Control data cleansing (£0.030m).
  28. Work is on-going to identify any potential budget risks as a consequence of the increased number of retained fire-fighters recruited in the past 12 months, taking into account the continual turnover of staff.
  29. With effect from 1 April 2006 the Department for Community and Local Government has introduced new arrangements for financing of fire-fighters pensions, the details of which have been built into the 2006/07 base budget. One effect of the new financial arrangements is that there will no longer be major fluctuations to the cost of fire-fighter pensions on the budget, thus reducing the need for calls on council balances. The only call on council balances will relate to contributions for ill health retirements.
  30. An overspend of £0.308m has been carried forward into 2006/07 for the Community Safety Team. The 2006/07 budget includes £0.252m to offset this (the amount relating to the 2004/05 carried forward overspend) and it is proposed to vire £0.026m from other carried forward underspends elsewhere within the Directorate to leave £0.030m to be recovered in this financial year.
  31. Resources and Chief Executive’s Office

  32. The key risk areas identified so far in the Resources Directorate are in ICT, Human Resources, Property Services, Shared Services and the Coroner’s Service. There are no significant areas of risk at this stage within the budget for the Chief Executive’s Office.
  33. The net outturn for ICT in 2005/06 was an underspend of £0.091m but this included large underspends in ring-fenced budgets. Removing these leaves an overspend in the core ICT budgets of £0.165m to be managed this year. In order to live within the existing budget, including the carried forward overspend, and manage pressures due to demand for more and better functionality, the Head of ICT has introduced a regime of tight budgetary control including restricting the use of contractors and careful management of vacancies. The funding and phasing of projects is also being reviewed, in particular the data centre. Additional one-off funding of £0.337m has been allocated this year from Local Authority Business Growth Incentive income to be used for development work on the universal payments system. The Capital Steering Group has recommended that the Cabinet approve the provision of £0.221m to the data centre project from the capital programme (see paragraph 44). Additionally, subject to Cabinet approval (see paragraph 32), additional £0.375m funding will be made available through release of part of the Pensions Reserve.
  34. In order to improve the management of the Council’s property portfolio, premises budgets are now held centrally by Property Services rather than by directorates. This may put pressure on the property budget when rent reviews increase rents significantly above the rate of inflation or where there are demands to acquire new properties. However, at this stage of the year it is expected that, with careful management, spend will be kept within budget.
  35. Excluding the ring-fenced Modernisation Fund money carried-forward, the HR budget has carried forward an overspend of £0.084m from 2005/06. This has arisen largely because efficiency savings have only been partly achieved. The Head of HR is producing an action plan for managing this overspend and ensuring that this year’s efficiency savings are achieved. This plan will be reported next month.
  36. On 21 February the Cabinet agreed funding arrangements for the Shared Services Project including £4.384m in 2006/07. The project will be temporarily financed from a reserve created using cash surpluses on the capital programme, with repayments finishing in 2010/11 when the project begins to generate positive cash flows. Clearly this is a complex, major project with significant financial risks and in its early stages. The budget is currently being reviewed and any changes, together with progress of spend against the budget, will be included in the next and subsequent monitoring reports.
  37. In respect of the Coroner’s Service, the backlog of inquests into the deaths of military personnel in Iraq is being addressed but it is likely that additional deputy assistant coroners and administrative support will be required to clear it fully over the next few months. The Department of Constitutional Affairs has now confirmed that it will fund in full the cost of two assistant deputy coroners (to be employed by the Council) and additional coroner’s officers and administrative support (to be employed by Thames Valley Police).
  38. Strategic Measures

  39. At this point in the financial year it is too early to assess any variations on the strategic measures budget. A fully updated capital programme will be brought to Cabinet on 18 July 2006, and by that time a detailed balance sheet position at 31 March 2006 will be available. These provide essential information on which to base a forecast for strategic measures and it is anticipated that an initial forecast on the outturn position will be available for the 18 July meeting of Cabinet.
  40. Pensions Reserve

  41. In the February Monitoring Report the Cabinet was asked to release part of the funding put aside in the 2006/07 budget to reflect the changes arising from the revocation of the 85-year rule. A decision on how to use the funding available was deferred pending clarification of the Minister for Local Government’s statement that half of the savings arising would be recycled.
  42. There has recently been a consultation produced by the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) which if enacted would extend the protection offered. However, due to the need for certainty and planning within the services, it is proposed that of the £1.5m set aside in 2006/07, half should be released to fund schemes this year, given the Minister’s statement. It is proposed that the funding available is allocated equally between the planned major carriageway and footway reconstruction scheme in Oxford High Street and the funding of certain ICT Projects as defined in the Council’s decision in February approving the budget and capital programme.
  43. The position of the pension change will need to be kept under close review and the financial implications assessed once the latest consultation is concluded. If there are further financial implications from this they will need to be considered as part of the 2007/08 budget planning process.
  44. Revenue Balances

  45. The 2006/07 revenue budget provides for net additions to balances of £1.820m. Based on the provisional outturn for 2005/06 the opening balances figure is £15.961m (£12.863m net of the City Schools reorganisation carried forward overspend).
  46. Notification of the Council’s Flood Defence Levy charge was received after the budget was agreed by Council on 14 February. The charge for the Thames region is lower than budgeted, and as under the budget management arrangements this is a budget outside the control of the directorate, the surplus budget of £0.166m for 2006/07 will be transferred into balances.
  47. As reported above, there are proposed supplementary estimates for overspends on realigning services totalling £0.282m. These would be the first calls on a sum set aside to manage risks within the budget of £3.1m during 2006/07.
  48. The forecast position is detailed in Annex 1 to the report.
  49. Efficiency Savings

  50. The Annual Efficiency Statement (AES) system requires all local authorities to meet efficiency targets that are broadly 2.5% of their 2004/05 adjusted budgets each year up to 2007/08. Oxfordshire’s target for 2006/07 is £8.062m. At least half of the target must be cash releasing AES savings – where cash can be released from service budgets without affecting service outputs and quality.
  51. The 2006/07 revenue budget includes £4.679m efficiency savings allocated across Directorates and these savings can generally be counted towards the AES cash releasing savings required. It is important that the Council ensures that the planned savings are being made and are not being compromised by overspending elsewhere within services. Corporate reports monitoring efficiency savings in terms of both cash and performance will be produced on a quarterly basis. In addition, the projected year end position for budgets which have been allocated savings targets will be considered each month as part of the normal financial monitoring process and details of any discrepancies that may affect the achievement of the savings will be included in future monitoring reports.
  52. Best Value Performance Indicator (BVPI) 8

  53. BVPI8 measures performance in relation to the prompt payment of invoices. The Council’s target for 2006/07 is for 95% of invoices to be paid within 30 days of receipt. The most recent figures available (to the end of April 2006) show an overall position for the Council of 95.6%, a significant improvement on the March position. Some areas are still not achieving the target though and more work is planned to bring all areas up to the proposed level.
  54. Conclusion

  55. This initial monitoring report for the year highlights a number of areas in each directorate where there are likely to be pressures within the year. Each directorate will continue to monitor those positions, and where necessary come up with proposals to ensure that overall budgets are managed.
  56. PART 2 – CAPITAL

  57. At this point in the financial year it is too early to assess the likely position in delivering the capital programme. The only areas where significant changes have been identified relate to Social & Community Services where it is anticipated that slippage is likely on the Homes for Older People project and the Day Centre projects. A more detailed position will be included in the updated Capital Programme Booklet to be brought to Cabinet on 18 July.
  58. The Capital Steering Group considered a proposal to provide a central data centre at Clarendon House. The project will contribute significantly to the efficiency of IT provision across the Council and improvement in services to ICT customers. The provision of a data centre is a service priority within the ICT service plan for 2006/07.
  59. The costs of the project are £0.521m. The ICT revenue budget can meet £0.300m of the cost. The Capital Steering Group recommends that the Cabinet approve the funding for the balance of £0.221m to be met from capital resources.
  60. The Cabinet’s recommendations on the use of the unallocated balance of capital funding carried over from the February Council meeting, due to be considered by Council on 20 June, include a £1m contingency "for any future urgent projects which arise up to 2008/09". Approval to the allocation of £0.221m of this available funding will leave around £0.8m still available for high priority projects occurring in the next three years.
  61. School Kitchens

  62. There has been a steady deterioration in the condition of school kitchens over a number of years. It is proposed to provide short term interest free loans to schools who have decided to take delegated arrangements for school meals to improve their school kitchen facilities. It is recommended that £1m be made available to schools, which will be repaid to the Council in the following two years.
  63. A project appraisal in support of the project is attached at Annex 2 for the Cabinet to approve. There will be a loss of interest in cash flow to the Council, but the investment will enable significant improvements to the quality and standard of school meals provision.
  64. Chipping Norton Town Partnership

  65. The Council set aside £0.400m from a capital receipt in Chipping Norton to fund projects in Chipping Norton. This was a recommendation of the Capital Steering Group and was reported to the Cabinet on 7 February. The aim is to help ameliorate the community and economic consequences of the closure of the Parker Knoll factory. It is recommended that £0.005m of the set aside be released to the Chipping Norton Town Partnership to develop a website which is a key part of developing and marketing a positive identity for the Town.
  66. RECOMMENDATIONS

  67. The Cabinet is RECOMMENDED to:
          1. note the report;
          2. approve a supplementary estimate of £0.094m to offset part of the carried-forward overspend on the former Children & Families service;
          3. approve a supplementary estimate of £0.188m to offset the overspend carried-forward on Adult Learning;
          4. agree the proposal to release £0.750m of the Pensions Reserve funding to be allocated equally between the planned major carriageway and footway reconstruction scheme in Oxford High Street and the pressures relating to certain corporate ICT Projects, as specified in the Council’s 14 February resolution of approval in respect of the Budget and Capital Programme;
          5. subject to the Council’s agreement to the allocation of a £1m contingency as described in the report, approve the provision of £0.221m from the Capital Programme to fund part of the costs of a central data centre for the Council;
          6. approve project appraisal ED650 and accordingly agree the allocation of £1m available capital resources to provide short term borrowing support for improvements to school kitchens as set out in the appraisal, subject to contractual arrangements with any participating school to the satisfaction of the Director for Children, Young People & Families and County Solicitor in consultation with the Cabinet Member for Schools Improvement;
          7. approve the payment of £0.005m to the Chipping Norton Town Partnership to fund the setting up of a website.

SUE SCANE
Head of Finance & Procurement

Background papers: Directorate reports deposited in the Members’ Resource Centre

Contact Officers
Stephanie Skivington, Strategic Financial Manager (Part 1) Tel 01865 815426
Mike Petty, Strategic Financial Manager (Part 2) Tel 01865 815622

June 2006

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