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ITEM EX5 - ANNEX B

EXECUTIVE – 19 MARCH 2002

UPDATED FINANCIAL REPORT – 2001/02

Report by the Director of Social Services and

Director of Business Support & County Treasurer

Introduction

  1. This Updated Financial Report shows the 2001/02 budget for the former Social Services Committee, together with the projected year end variation based on the latest information available.
  2. This report shows that the significant budgetary pressures for 2001/02 that were reported in the last Quarterly Financial Report have been revised upwards. The current position, compared to the position at the beginning of December is as follows:
  3.  

    December

    £’000

    February £’000

    Change

    £’000

    Current Total Forecast Pressures 2001/02

    6,672

    7,019

    347

    Current Year Savings Plans

    3,504

    1,718

    1,786

    Forecast Year End Overspend 2001/02

    3,168

    5,301

    2,133


  4. There were concerns stated in the previous Quarterly Financial Report that whilst some of the predicted outturn figures will improve, other pressures will almost certainly increase and some proposed savings will prove difficult to deliver. This has proved to be the case and the Budget Working Group for Social Services has been considering monthly reports of the position. The potential overspend position has gradually worsened since December due to a variety of factors including expenditure pressures that had not been previously reported or identified and some savings proposals proving to be non-deliverable.
  5. Although the table above indicates that expenditure pressures have increased by about £0.3m, in practice there has been an increase in new pressures of about £1.4m. There are two principal elements to this relating to intentionally homeless and the proposed saving on home care following the best value review. These are covered in more detail in paragraphs 12 and 18 below. The new pressures of £1.4m have been offset by savings that have materialised of £1.1m.
  6. The reduction in savings plans of £1.8m is partly as a consequence of the £1.1m savings having materialised and partly due to savings that are now deemed non-deliverable in the year of £0.7m. Over half of these latter savings have only been delayed and should be deliverable next year.
  7. The detail of the pressures and action being taken is contained in Annex 1. (download as rtf. file). This Annex is an exception report highlighting the pressure areas, consistent with reports to the Budget Working Group. Annex 2 (download as rtf. file) contains the 2001/02 budget for the former Social Services Committee along with the projected variations. Annex 3 (download as rtf. file) contains a summary of the budget virements or variations and Annex 4 (download as rtf. file) states the levels of grant funding currently expected to be received by the Department.
  8. It is difficult in some cases to tie up the figures from Annex 1 with Annex 2 because Annex 1 is a presentation of how the budgets are managed within Social Services whereas Annex 2 is the budget that is formally reported nationally in order to maintain consistency for comparison purposes. This has caused problems in managing and reporting on Social Services budgets within the Council for a number of years. As a consequence, in setting the budget for 2002/03 we will be presenting it and reporting on it in a consistent way that will hopefully be easily understood and will represent how the department manages the budget. National reporting will be dealt with separately.
  9. Summary of Major Pressures

  10. The table below summarises the main pressures that the Social Services Department is facing.
  11. Budget Pressure

    Dec

    £’000

    Feb

    £’000

    Children and Families – Agency Placements

    Children and Families – Foster Care

    Children and Families – Intentionally Homeless

    Older People – Care at Home

    Older People – Independent Residential and Nursing Care

    Older People – Internal Residential and Nursing Care

    Physical Disabilities – Community Support

    Learning Disabilities – Agency Residential

    Home Care P&B Cut

    Shortfall on Income

    Carry Forward from 2000/01 (including commitments)

    Miscellaneous

    1,411

    515

    0

    1,229

    1,212

    261

    315

    153

    0

    750

    577

    249

    884

    495

    641

    669

    1,160

    104

    316

    322

    500

    540

    577

    811

    Total

    6,672

    7,019

  12. The issues relating to the various Divisions of the department are considered in turn.
  13. Services for Children & Families

  14. Work has continued with regard to reducing the pressure on the Agency and Foster Care Budgets with some limited success. The large reduction in Agency spend is primarily due to the use of the new Leaving Care funds to offset the costs of children who can be reasonably offset against this grant. In addition, Social Services has been allowed to use the £500k SSA adjustment for Leaving Care which could have led to a reduction in the Department’s 2001/02 budget.
  15. There is still a target to restrict the overspend to £800k on Agency placements and £300k on Foster Care. However, it is unlikely that this will be fully attained. The Children’s Division staff are still working hard to maximise savings where possible.
  16. Another problem area has been the Children’s Division taking on responsibility for families who are intentionally homeless. In theory, the accommodation costs linked to these families should be reclaimed via housing benefit. However, due to high landlord rents and some difficulties around housing benefit claim forms, it is apparent that not all costs will be recouped from housing benefit receipts. Of the £650k of housing costs currently being incurred, it is estimated that £200k will be reclaimed from benefits. The balance will be a pressure on the Children’s Division budgets. All placements have now ceased and it is hoped that a more exact benefit figure will be available from the City Council soon.
  17. In relation to the charging policy for children in care, the Executive agreed on 6 February for the proposals to proceed. Current expectations are that the financial implications will be delivered next year.
  18. There are other pressures in the Children & Families Division that were mentioned in the last Quarterly Financial Report:

    • The shortfall of income at Thornbury House has decreased to around £50k. This reflects greater efforts to speed up room repairs so that funding from the Youth Justice Board is not lost because of room unavailability.
    • The cost of home care for children is still currently forecast to overspend by about £100k. There has been a freeze on any new expenditure and a review of existing services.

Services for Older People

  1. The cost pressures within the residential and nursing sector relate to large fee increases that were necessary to maintain capacity (£367k) and the expectation that the Health Authority would assume a greater responsibility for the costs of certain clients following the Coughlan judgement (£845k). The Health Authority is unable to fund this responsibility from within its current resources. Officers worked closely with the Health Authority to put a bid together for additional resources from the Change Agency within the NHS. This bid has only been partially successful and is unlikely to help with the current cost pressures as the resource allocated (£230k) is for new spend.
  2. The Department has continued to make use of the bed blocking grant to allow placements from hospital, whilst attempting to control spending against base residential care budgets. It has been difficult to maximise the use of the bed blocking grant in this financial year because of the danger of over-committing the grant for next year.
  3. The action to increase the eligibility criteria and reassess all care packages in relation to Community Care is producing results. The reduction in the external care spending, combined with further savings on internal Home Care provision has produced nearly £600k of savings so far against a target of £1m this year.
  4. A further problem has been recently identified relating to a policy and budget plan saving of £500k, which was the outcome of the Best Vale review of Home Care. This plan was based around increasing the contribution from Health to Home Care packages in certain circumstances. In practice, an additional contribution from the Health Authority has been received approaching £500k. Unfortunately, expenditure has also increased by this amount and as a consequence there is no saving.
  5. Services for People with Learning and Physical Disabilities

  6. It is now accepted that the targets for Physical and Learning Disabilities to underspend by £150k and £250k respectively were ambitious. These targets have been revised to a more realistic level. By making placements in an emergency only, by reproviding services through the supporting people programme and by the judicious use of external funding, the target is to eliminate the current level of overspend. This may not be possible in the time left before the end of the year.
  7. Management and Support Services

  8. The forecast overspend position in this area has increased to £436k. The main factors contributing to this overspend are increased central support charges (£191k), Repairs & Maintenance (£96k), IT License purchases (£61k), Planning into Action (£50k) and the review of financial management (£18k).
  9.  

    Charging for Services

  10. The forecast shortfall in income has been reduced to £540k for Home Care Services, although this is still a very difficult area to monitor because of the difficulty in managing information from the systems. The reduction is basically due to higher than expected levels of home care income being forecast. Of course, as the department has restricted access to Home Care services in the latter part of the year, it is possible that the income position could deteriorate. However, any such deterioration is very difficult to analyse and forecast at this stage.
  11. Asylum Seekers

  12. There is no further progress to report on the negotiations over disputed invoices relating to asylum seekers. The expected settlement is in line with the accounts for last year. However, should the Council have to settle for a higher figure, additional funding would be necessary.
  13. The Home Office have confirmed grant levels for the financial year at the same level as in 2000/01. Expenditure will be fully funded by grant with no shortfall.
  14. Carry Forward from 2000/01

  15. The Social Services Committee overspent by £577k in 2000/01, after taking into account the resources carried forward to fund commitments. In accordance with the Council’s budget management arrangements this has been carried forward to be funded in the current year.
  16. Homes for Older People Externalistion

  17. The Homes transfer is now complete.
  18. Review of Financial Management

  19. The Executive has received the FINE report as the review of financial management arrangements within the department. The recommendations were accepted in full.
  20. Conclusions

  21. This report has detailed a deterioration in the financial position for the Social Services Committee. The report has highlighted a potential overspend against budget of £7m based on existing expenditure trends. A number of actions are being taken that should reduce this overspend by some £1.7m. In attempting to bring this spending under control, there is a risk that individuals will be placed at risk in the community. This could damage our performance as measured by the Government, and may lead to legal challenge. In delivering the action plan, there still remains a potential shortfall of £5.3m in 2001/02.
  22. As stated in the last Quarterly Financial Report, there are a few major factors that could affect the final outturn position and there is still concern that the outturn position could be worse than reported here. There is specific concern over whether, despite action being taken, we will deliver some of the planned savings. Of particular concern are the savings on Children’s Agency placements (£84k), Foster Care Placements (£195k), savings on Residential and Nursing Care (£500k) and Physical and Learning Disabilities (£582k). Set against this, the department has been restricting expenditure wherever possible and is working towards maximising income from government grant. There is an expectation that this will generate savings, as yet not quantified.
  23. It is difficult to estimate the impact of all these potential changes on the final position but we will clearly inform members as soon as information becomes available.
  24. Environmental Implications

  25. There are no environmental implications arising directly from this report.
  26. Financial Implications

  27. This report is concerned with the future financial position of this Committee and all implications are contained within the body of the report.
  28. Staff Implications

  29. It should be noted that increasing workloads arising from the need to manage the development of new services arising from specific grants, the Policy and Budget Plan targets and the recruitment problems are all putting increased pressure on staff within this Department.
  30. Implications for Carers, Ethnic Minorities and People Living in Poverty

  31. There are no direct implications for these groups arising from this report, as this report contains no new proposals. However the level of cuts and service changes facing Social Services has a direct impact on these groups as Social Services provides services only to the most vulnerable groups in the community. Future action required to contain these expenditure pressures could impact further on these groups.
  32. RECOMMENDATIONS

  33. The Committee are RECOMMENDED to receive the report.

CHRIS GRAY
Director of Business Support & County Treasurer

MARY ROBERTSON
Director of Social Services

Background Papers: Nil

Contact Officer: Paul Gerrish, Assistant County Treasurer, (01865) 815730

March 2001

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