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ITEM EX5

EXECUTIVE – 19 MARCH 2002

BUDGET MONITORING

Report by Director for Business Support & County Treasurer

Introduction

  1. This report presents the overall financial position of the Council in 2001/02. It sets out the financial issues identified to date and updates the Executive on progress towards achieving the 2001/02 budget targets. It also looks at some issues concerning the budget for 2002/03.
  2. Financial Position – 2001/02

  3. Details of the Council’s financial position are contained in the following Annexes:
  4. Annex 1 Projected year end variations compared with the 2001/02 budget (download as .rtf file)

    Annex 2 An Estimate of Provisions, Reserves and Balances at 31 March 2002 compared with provisional actuals at 1 April 2001 (download as .rtf file)

    Annex 3 Analysis of Committee Carry Forward Reserve (download as .rtf file)

    Annex 4 Revenue Grants (download as .rtf file)

    Carry forwards from 2000/01 and balances as at 1 April 2001 are based on the Statement of Accounts 2000/01.

  5. Additionally, for completeness and background information, full Quarterly Financial Reports for the six programme areas are contained in the following annexes:
  6. Annex A Education

    Annex B Social Services

    Annex C Environmental

    Annex D Public Protection

    Annex E Cultural Services

    Annex F Operations

    Reserves and Balances

  7. The current projected outturn position on the Council’s main reserves and balances are shown in Annex 2, the principal ones being:
  8.  

    Provisional

    Balance

    1 April 2001

     

    £’000

    Projected

    Movement

     

     

     

    £’000

    Estimated Balance

    31 March 2002

     

     

    £’000

    Estimated Balance, Last Quarterly Financial Report

    £’000

    Schools’ Reserves

    10,671

    1,500

    12,171

    14,000

    County Fund Balance

    3,508

    -460

    3,048

    3,038

    Committee Carry Forward Reserve

    3,213

    -7,396

    -4,183

    -4,031*

    * Includes £1.0m projected overspend on urgent repair & maintenance.

    Virements and Supplementary Estimates (Annex 1, Column 5)

  9. Supplementary estimates of £0.627m previously approved by the former Strategy & Resources Committee and the Executive are reflected in Annex 1, Column 5. Additionally there have been some approved virements between services and within services. Virements are reported to the Executive on a quarterly basis.
  10. Committee Carry Forward Reserve

  11. An analysis of the Committee Carry Forward reserve at provisional outturn 2000/01, actual outturn 2000/01 and current estimated outturn 2001/02 is shown at Annex 3. The table demonstrates that if all services spend in line with current projections, there will be a deficit of £4.183m by March 2002. This is a slight worsening of £0.152m since the forecast position reported in the last quarterly report. Further details on each service area are outlined below.
  12. Education

  13. Based on the latest information available, Education are reporting a net overspend of £0.345m, an improvement of £0.941m compared to the reported position in December of a forecast £1.286m overspend. The latest forecast consists of an underspend of £1.434m offset by the planned revenue overspend on the City Schools Re-organisation of £1.779m. Whilst there are a number of over and underspendings which have emerged since the December report, the factors contributing to the underspending are: £0.5m underspend on Standards Funds since the Department for Education & Skills spending deadline is now end of August 2002 (a 17 instead of 12 month spend period), and £0.647m of one off special grant received from the DfEE in 2000/01. This sum, which has been held on the balance sheet pending the signing off of the grant claim by the District Auditor on 31 January 2002, has now been transferred to the revenue account.
  14. There are budget pressures and commitments of £1.646m in 2002/03, of which £0.5m relates to the Standards Funds underspend, £0.4m is the estimated carry forward included in support of the 2002/03 budget and £0.257m and £0.122m relate to pressures on Out County and Transport not allowed for in the 2002/03 budget. The remainder of £0.367m is made up of various commitments. Taking into account the commitments and budget pressures then currently a sum of £0.212m is unfunded in 2002/03 and will need to be addressed by management action.
  15. The latest estimate on schools balances is that there is likely to be growth of £1.5m, bringing the total at the end of year to around £12.2m. In addition £1.1m of balances is lodged with the County Council to help fund the City Schools Re-organisation. This is a slightly lower figure than the £14m previously estimated.
  16. Social Services

  17. The forecast overspend in December for Social Services programme area was £6.7m with current year’s savings plans of £3.5m giving a forecast deficit of £3.2m. The situation has steadily worsened since then and been reported to members through the Social Services Member/Officer Budget Working Group and monthly monitoring reports to the Executive. The report to the 20 February meeting gave a forecast deficit of £4.875m. This has now deteriorated to £5.3m,with total pressures in 2001/02 of £7.0m and savings plans of £1.7m.
  18. Environmental

  19. Environmental Services is forecasting an underspend of £1.087m (made up of an overspend of £0.457m in 2001/02 offset by carryforward from 2000/01 of £1.544m). This is an improvement of £0.254m, mainly due to increased underspendings on public transport revenue support, rural bus services, and waste management.
  20. On 5 February 2002 the Council approved a virement of up to £1.0m for urgent building maintenance work from within the budgets under the control of Environmental Services. Part of the £1.087m underspend will be used towards offsetting an estimated net planned overspend of £0.8m on Repair and Maintenance of Buildings accounted for under the former Operations Sub-Committee budget (see paragraphs 15 and 16). The rest of the underspend is being allocated to work to be carried out in 2002/03. Detailed proposals for virements will be made when the exact amount of the overspend is known.
  21. Public Protection

  22. It is currently anticipated that the Committee Carry Forward Reserve will be £91,000 at the end of 2001/02, comprising £50,000 slippage in expenditure on the Fire Service and an estimated underspending/overachievement of income of £61,000 resulting from the Best Value Review of the white fleet, of which £20,000 will be used towards the overspending on retained firefighter pay.
  23. Cultural Services

  24. Cultural Services’ updated financial position shows a projected year end underspend of £162,000 to be carried forward to the next financial year. This is an increase in the Committee Carry Forward at 31 March 2002 of £94,000 to the figure previously reported. This reflects slippage in the New Library Book Issuing System. The phasing of this project is presently being reassessed in conjunction with an overall review of ICT within the department and to ensure linkage with any recommendations from the Best Value Review of the Library Service.
  25. Operations

  26. The latest estimate of the outturn position is an underspending of £0.123m. This is an improvement of £0.676m representing increased underspendings across most headings, including £0.2m less than forecast on the overall repair and maintenance budget due to a freeze on planned maintenance works imposed by the Director of Environmental Services and referred to below.
  27. The £0.123m underspend is made up of £0.923m underspendings on Chief Executives, Treasury Services and Corporate and Democratic Core (Members) offset by £0.8m planned overspend on repair and maintenance of buildings. The £0.8m overspend on Repair and Maintenance will be offset by underspends on other Environmental Services budgets, as already discussed at paragraph 10.
  28. Strategic Measures

  29. As previously reported it is currently anticipated that there will be savings of £500,000 this year in respect of improvements in cash flow.
  30. The Executive will recall that block appeals have been submitted in respect of the 2000 rate revaluations. It is unlikely that the appeals will be determined in this financial year and therefore no significant savings on rates are anticipated.
  31. Capital Reserve

  32. Current projections indicate that there will be a surplus of £4.052m on the Capital Reserve by March 2002 based on the latest capital programme update. These resources will be used in future years. However it is likely that the City Schools Capital Reserve will be fully utilised during 2001/02. An update of the Capital Programme will go to the Executive in April
  33.   County fund Balance

  34. The current position on the County Fund is shown below:

      £’000

    Balance as at 1 April 2001

    3,508
    Plus contribution from revenue budget 2001/02 400

    3,908
  35. Variations previously reported

    Less Supplementary Estimates for:

    Operations – foot & mouth action plan -10

    Cultural Services – foot & mouth tourism strategy -10

    Public Protection – foot and mouth costs -15

    Cultural Services – Cogges -35

    Operations – District Audit Fee -107

    Operations – Job Evaluation -60

    50% of pay awards -405

    Operations – budget for scrutiny committees -40

    Operations – costs of Peer Review -26

    Additional costs of Members Allowances -120

    Home to school transport returned to balances 236

    Public Protection – Firefighters Pay award -35

    -627

    Variations to (+)/drawn from (-) Balances (previously reported)

    Additional costs of firefighters pension account -365

    Additional cost of retained firefighters -250

    Public Protection Emergency planning – return of grant 66

    Operations – under spend on election budget 50

    Strategic Measures – improvements in cash flow

    Operations – Better Government for Older People 10

    Operation – further under spend on election budget 10

    Broadband Network Revenue Costs -124

    Elms Day Centre – Loss of Capital Receipt -130

    Strategic Measures improvements in cash flow 500

    -233

    Projected Balance as at 31 March 2002 3,048

  36. There are no new requests for supplementary estimates.
  37. Government Grants (Revenue)

  38. Specific grants known about at the time of setting the budget are listed in the 20001/02 Budget Book. This information is summarised in Annex 4 and updated for further grants reported by services this cycle. Annex 4 also indicates the level of funding required to be input by the Council to access the grant. Copies of the detailed grant schedules are available in the Members’ Resource Centre.
  39. Other Issues

    Pension Rights for Part Time Workers

  40. Claims have been made by 187 part-time and retained firefighters following a decision of the European Court to extend the pension rights of part-time employees. If the claims are successful, entry to the Firefighters Pension Scheme could be backdated to 1976. It is not possible to quantify the total potential liability at the stage.
  41. Conclusions, 2001/02 Budget

  42. In summary, the current projected outturn on the Council’s main reserves and balances is as follows:
    1. Schools Reserves – It is currently anticipated that the year end school revenue balances will increase by around £1.5m to 12.2m.
    2. County Fund Balance – The current projection is that the County Fund Balance will reduce from £3.508m to £3.048m for the reasons stated in paragraph 18 above.
    3. Committee Carry Forward Reserve – Current forecasts indicate a deficit of £4.183m, including sums repayable in subsequent years of £1.7m (Education) and £5.3m (Social Services).
    4. The consolidated position on Balances and Committee Carry Forward Reserve is analysed below:

        £000

      County Fund Balance

      3,048
      Less Committee Carry Forward Reserve -4,183
      Deficit -1,135


    The shortfall of £1.135m can be covered in the short term from the balance on the Capital Reserve of £4.052m.

    2002/03 Budget Issues

  43. The table below shows the forecast position at the end of the current financial year, when the capital reserve will be used as a temporary measure to offset the overall deficit.
  44. Corporate

    Reserves/Balances

     

     

     

     

     31.03.02

     

     

     31.03.03

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Revenue Balances

     

     

     3.0

     

     

     6.0

     

    City Schools (Revenue)

     

    -1.7

     

     

    -3.0

     

    Committee c/f reserve

     

    -2.5

     

     

    0.0

     

    Capital Reserve

     

     

     4.0

     

     

    0.0 

     

     

     

     

     

     2.8

     

     

    3.0

     

  45. For 2002/03 the Executive in their Budget Strategy 2002/03 –2005/06 on 22 January instructed the County Council Management Team as follows;‘Given the size of the creative measures and the risks associated with Oxford City School cash flows and bringing back Social Services spending under control, the Executive is minded to institute a holdback on non-essential expenditure in 2002/03 until there has been a thorough assessment of the risk areas’. This assessment is currently underway. In particular Social Services are working on a revised budget for Tuesday 19 March Executive which will show how it can deliver the service within its budget of £105m not withstanding the expected overspend of £5.3m in 2001/02.
  46. Rules for Virement and Supplementary Estimates

  47. The Constitution requires the level of virements to be approved by the Council. The Executive will need to make recommendations to the Council on rules for approving virements and supplementary estimates which will be dealt with by Council on 2 April. The detailed proposals are to follow in a supplementary report.
  48. Social Services Revised Budget and Environmental Services budget revisions

  49. Members will recall that Council on 5 February 2002 accepted the principle that the Social Services budget would need to be revised for 2002/03. The Budget Strategy 2002/03 – 2005/06 stated ‘The Executive instructs Social Services officers to report to the Executive with options for allocating a total of £105.2m across service areas and with an indication of the activity to be provided in each area at those spending levels’.
  50. At the same time, a decision needs to be made on the final allocation of expenditure pressures on the Environmental Services budget in accordance with the report considered by the Environment Scrutiny Committee in December.
  51. Detailed proposals on both of these service areas are to follow in the supplementary report.
  52. Recommendations

  53. The Executive is Recommended to receive the report;
  54. Recommendations will be set out in the Supplementary report in respect of
          1. the rules for virement limits and supplementary estimates; and
          2. the Social Services and Environment budgets.

Chris Gray
Director for Business Support and County Treasurer

 

Background Papers Nil

Contact Officer Mike Petty Tel: (01865) 815622

March 2002

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