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ITEM EX5

EXECUTIVE - 8 JULY 2003

PROVISIONAL OUTTURN 2002/03

Report by the Head of Finance

Introduction

  1. This report sets out the provisional revenue and capital outturn positions for 2002/03. It is the third "badged report" in the series on the Budget and Oxfordshire Plan 2004/05. Please ensure you place this copy in your green ring binder in the section ‘Executive Papers’.
  2. The budget strategy ‘Maximising Our Resources’ by the Leader and Deputy Leader of the Council highlighted ‘the need to review our budget monitoring and accounts closedown processes. Monitoring and reporting should be in financial and output terms and enable officers and members to understand the base budget better and to inform the ongoing budget setting process. Accounts closedown should include a more informed review of variations and outputs, again informing the budget setting cycle’.
  3. It was also recognised that it will ‘require a significant amount of work and implementation may have to be incremental, focussed on critical areas’. I have provided an analysis of the outturn position at Annex 1, based on the information that directorates have supplied at this point in time. A full explanation is available in the individual reports prepared by the directorates, which are in the Members’ Resource Centre.
  4. Members are reminded that there is a series of seminars between July 14 and 24 when they will be able to ‘get inside the budget’ of each directorate. Where you are unable to attend but have specific unanswered questions on the performance of the budget – then these should be directed to individual directors or the respective business managers (listed at the end of this report).
  5. The final figures will be given to the District Auditor in July and submitted to the Best Value Committee in September as part of the Council’s formal Statement of Accounts 2002/03.
  6. Presentation

  7. Details of the Council’s overall financial position for 2002/03 are contained in the following annexes:
  8. Annex 1 Detailed Analysis of Individual Programme Area Carryforward position (download as .xls file)

    Annex 2 Provisional Revenue Outturn – Summary position (download as .xls file)

    Annex 3 Provisional Reserves and Balances at 31 March 2003 compared with 1 April 2002

    Annex 4 Provisional Capital Outturn

    Provisional Revenue Outturn

  9. The budget added £3m to balances in 2002/03. This means that General County Fund Balances started the year at £6.3m. The City Schools Re-organisation planned revenue overspend in 2002/03 was expected to reach £3.5m, leaving £2.8m in balances for the remainder of the year to deal with all unexpected calls on funds and any major overspendings which might arise. Therefore, I took the decision – mandated by the Executive – to institute an internal administrative holdback. As both an internal and external benchmark 1% of net budget is deemed the minimum requirement to be held in balances. For the County Council this would have meant balances of at least £4.5m, after allowing for the City Schools planned overspend. The amount agreed with the programme areas for holdback was £1.4m. This rebuilt balances temporarily to £4.2m, which I considered to be prudent, given the problems experienced in 2001/02 around overspending on Social & Health Care, combined with planned revenue overspending on City Schools Re-organisation.
  10. The major draw on balances in year came from: overspending on OCN/Broadband - £0.867m in 2002/03 (a further £0.362m has slipped into 2003/04); £0.700m for interest on balances caused by the unusually high rise in the construction indices used for inflating developer contributions (this ensures that the purchasing power of the contributions is maintained); £0.264m for firefighters’ pensions; and latterly a £1m temporary draw on balances required to support the revenue budget 2002/03. A full explanation of why this was required is set out later in the report. The outturn position for the County Fund after these adjustments is forecast £3.529m at the end of the year.
  11. The programme area carryforward reserve in total came to around -£0.400m last year, when the Social & Health Care overspending of £6.3m was mostly offset by £5.9m of underspending on the other programme areas. This year the forecast overspend on Social & Health Care is substantially lower at £2.5m and underspending on all other programme areas is £4.4m, giving a positive balance of £1.9m. Finally the planned overspend on City Schools was actually £3.3m. When the City Schools position is taken account of, this gives a net position of -£1.4m. This compares with -£2.2m for the previous year.
  12. The consolidated position is:
  13.  

    31 March 2002
    £m

    31 March 2003
    £m

    County Fund Balance

     

    3,317

     

    3,529

    Programme Area Carry Forward Reserve

    -384

     

    1,901

     

    City Schools Overspend

    -1,787

     

    -3,280

     

    Sub–total: Programme Area Carryforward

     

    -2,171

     

    -1,379

    Outturn

     

    -1,146

     

    2,150

  14. In effect the position at year would have been £1.4m less had it not been for the administrative holdback, leaving £0.8m in balances. I have indicated above that overspending on the OCN/Broadband project was £0.867m in 2002/03, with £0.362m slipping into 2003/04. This means that balances could easily have been further eroded by another £0.4m. I am content therefore that the administrative holdback was prudent and justified. The holdback has been released back to the directorates in 2003/04.
  15. Programme Areas Carryforward Reserve

  16. In summary, the position is as follows:
  17.  

    31 March 2002
    £m

     

    31 March 2003
    £m

    Learning & Culture

    2,330

     

    1,135

    Social & Health Care

    -6,318

     

    -2,542

    Environment, Roads & Transport

    1,724

     

    1,574

    Community Safety

    145

     

    -81

    Corporate Governance

    1,735

     

    1,815

    Subtotal

    -384

     

    1,901

    City Schools Re-organisation

    -1,787

     

    -3,280

    Total

    -2,171

     

    -1,379

     

    Detailed Analysis of Outturn position for Programme Areas

  18. The following paragraphs highlight the key factors to note from each of the Programme Areas. Included at Annex 1 is the detailed position. This analyses the carryforward position into how under and over spends are planned to be carried forward or written off, and also outlines some of the key policy and budget plans agreed in the 2003/04 budget. Clearly, this information is most useful where analysis of outturn position and additional funding for 2003/04 is at cost centre level. The position is shown according to the level of the analysis available.
  19. Learning & Culture

  20. For Learning, the net underspend is £0.782m on the non-delegated budget. This compares with an underspending of £0.573m reported to May Executive, a movement of -£0.209m. The forecast position includes £1.867m underspending brought forward from 2001/02.
  21. The major areas of overspend above the £0.250m virement limit are: statementing £0.395m; and ICT £0.287m. Major areas of underspending also over the £0.250m limit are: Standards Fund -£0.762m ( to be carried forward); transport -£0.279m; health & safety £-0.350m. The latter contributed £0.100m to the administrative holdback.
  22. Culture has a provisional outturn position of £0.657m. This position has changed only minimally since the position reported in May. This total includes £0.463m brought forward from 2001/02.
  23. The directorate contributed £0.550m to the administrative holdback from a number of budget headings in year (Learning £0.500m and Culture £0.050m). Where there was a deliberate policy to underspend, it has been highlighted in the supporting table at Annex 1.
  24. Social & Health Care

  25. The Social Services part of Social & Health Care is forecast to over spend by £2.602m. This position includes the overspending brought forward of £6.344m from 2001/02.
  26. The major areas of overspending relate to Children and Families £1.5m, Learning Disabilities £2.5m, and services across client groups £0.388m. Business support underspent by £2.6m.
  27. The overall position for Social & Health Care is an overspend of £2.542m. This includes an overspend of £0.102m on the Youth Offending Team and an underspend of £0.161m on early years.
  28. Environment, Roads & Transport

  29. Environment, Roads & Transport Programme Area has a forecast underspending of £1.574m; this includes the underspending of £1.7m brought forward from 2001/02.
  30. The main areas of underspending are: £0.265m on Public Transport Revenue Support, £0.559m on Land Use Planning and £0.576m against Waste management.
  31. This Programme Area held back £0.850m in response to the requirement in year for an administrative holdback. This is included in the forecast outturn and highlighted at Annex 1.
  32. Community Safety

  33. The forecast outturn for Community Safety is an overspend of £0.081m. This includes the underspending brought forward of £0.145m from 2001/02.
  34. Corporate Governance

  35. The provisional outturn position for Corporate Governance is an underspending of £1.815m. This includes underspending brought forward from 2001/02 of £1.735m. This is an increase of £0.714m since the report in May.
  36. The main areas of underspending are as follows Strategy £0.853m, Business Support £0.262m, and property other services £0.395m.
  37. Provisions, Reserves and Balances

  38. The provisional outturn figures on provisions, reserves and balances are shown at Annex 3. This includes the latest predicted position on schools reserves which are shown as falling to £5.7m at 31 March 2003. This figure excludes sums deposited by schools with the Council of £2.1m, giving an overall level of school reserves totalling £7.8m. This position will be updated later in the year once all the returns due from schools have been received.
  39. County Fund Balances

  40. The estimated outturn position on the County Fund is analysed below:
  41.  

     

    Balance at 1 April 2002

    Plus contribution from revenue budget 2002/03

    £000

    3,317

    3,000

    £000

     

    6,317

    Variations previously reported

    VAT on car allowances – provision not required

    Emergency Planning – additional grant received

    Contingency written off

    Asylum Seekers – additional cost

    Rates Refunds

    Interest on Balances – Baxter Index on Developer Contribution

    Additional Costs of Broadband

    Firefighters Pension Scheme

    Retained firefighters – budget variation

    Magistrates Courts – additional costs

    Coroners’ service – additional costs

    Rates – budget variations

     

     

     

    +120

    +45

    -23

    -115

    +67

    -700*

    -1.400

    -264

    +50

    -29

    -6

    -7

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -2,262

    4,055

    New Variations

    Magistrates Courts – Reduced costs

    Coroners’ Service – increased costs

    Rates – budget variations

    Broadband - slippage in payments

    Retained Firefighters – reduced costs

    Budge Reserve Shortfall

    Balance on County Fund at 31 March 2003

    * Actual cost incurred in 2002/03 £0.867m (£1.4m less £0.533m)

     

     

    3

    -9

    -35

    533*

    -18

    -1,000

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    -526

    3,529


    Provisional Capital Outturn

  42. The provisional capital outturn shows an underspending of £3.6m compared to a programme of £105.3m and is summarised at Annex 4, where the main reasons for the underspending are shown. Within the overall net underspending there was an overspend of £3.0m on Environment, Roads & Transport. This arose due to increased costs on some schemes and some costs being incurred earlier than anticipated including early settlement of some final accounts. The overspending was funded from On Street Parking Surplus, where the expenditure was a legitimate call on that source, or from Developer Contributions.
  43. The impact of this overspending is that the proposed revenue/capital switch of £1m to add £1m to the Budget Reserve in 2002/03 could not be accommodated. The Budget Reserve was being used to fund the Revenue Budget in 2002/03. This shortfall in funding the Revenue Budget has had to be met temporarily from balances. It is now proposed to make the revenue/capital switch during 2003/04 which will allow for the £1m shortfall in balances to be reinstated.
  44. The City Schools Reorganisation project was in surplus at 31 March 2003 due to a combination of slippage in payments of £1.7m and the capital receipt from the sale of Milham Ford School (£11.9m).
  45. The Executive agreed in April 2003 that the City Schools Revenue Reserve should be redesignated and used to fund the shortfall on the main capital programme expected at that time to be £6.7m. The overall underspend on the programme means that only £3.3m of this reserve has been utilised in 2002/03. With the flow of capital receipts from the City Schools Reorganisation in 2003/04 the Council will be able to reinstate the Insurance Fund Reserve which will be needed to fund the Revenue Budget in 2003/04 and reinstate the interest on Developer Contribution accounts which were set aside to fund the cashflow on the City Schools project. These amounts are already included in the Medium Term Financial Plan.
  46. There was a variation on Credit Approvals used to fund the programme of £2.793m. This was mainly due to funding of £2.6m being received through grant rather than Credit Approval. Unspent Supplementary Credit Approvals will be carried forward to fund expenditure that has slipped into 2003/04.
  47. RECOMMENDATIONS

  48. The Executive is RECOMMENDED to:
          1. note the provisional revenue and capital outturn set out in the report;
          2. note the programme area carryforwards set out in Annex 1 and approve those which would involve a change in budget head.

CHRIS GRAY
Head of Finance

Background papers: Nil.

Contact Officers:
Jenny Hydari, Resources, Finance Tel 01865 815401
Mike Petty, Resources, Finance Tel 01865 815622

Business Managers:
P
aul Gerrish, Environment & Economy Tel 01865 815370
Kerry Dearden, Social & Health Care Tel 01865 815565
Chris Mitchell, Resources Tel 01865 815430
Robert Capstick/ Louise Goll, Learning & Culture Tel 01865 815155/ 428116
Mike Smyth, Community Safety Tel 01865 855206

June 2003

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