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ITEM EX8
EXECUTIVE
– 16 MARCH 2004
TRANSPORT
CAPITAL PROGRAMME 2004/05 TO 2006/07
Report by
the Head of Transport and the Head of Finance
Introduction
- This report seeks
the Executive’s approval to the 2004/05 Transport Capital Programme
(shown in the attached booklet) and indicative programmes for 2005/06.
An indication is provided of the potential demand for funding in 2006/07.
The report also provides the information on the use of the reward funding
in the 2004/05 Local Transport Plan (LTP) settlement as required by
10 February 2004 Council resolution on the Capital Budget.
- The 2004/05 programme
uses as its starting point the provisional figures for the transport
budget headings agreed by the Executive on 18 March 2003 and the explanation
of the limited scope for moving away from these figures in the report
to the 28 October 2003 Executive which reviewed progress on the 2003/04
Capital Programme.
(Capital Transport Programme 204/05 to 2007/08 - Contents - download
as .xls file)
(Capital Transport Programme 2004/05 to 2006/07 - download
as .xls file)
Background
- The total block
allocation awarded by the government for Transport in 2004/05 is £23.957m.
This comprises a figure of £11.017m for structural maintenance and £12.940m
for integrated transport measures. In the new terminology these LTP
allocations are unringfenced Single Capital Pot SCE(R) - Supported Capital
Expenditure (Revenue). This gives discretion to authorities to spend
the allocation according to their own plans and priorities but, as the
LTP settlement letter makes clear, the government expectation is that
sufficient funds are spent on transport to enable progress towards the
objectives and targets in an authority’s LTP and ultimately to meet
those targets by the end of the LTP period in March 2006. In practice
this means that all of the transport funding needs to be dedicated to
pursing the full range of our LTP objectives.
- The Annual Progress
Report (APR) for 2004/05 was scored as "well above average", one of
11 authorities nationally to achieve this top grading for their APR.
This was a particularly pleasing result for the APR team from Transport
Planning who felt hard done by under the scoring system in 2003/04.
- Our exact score
for the APR was 82%; the top score nationally was 87%. The small range
of scores in the top band means that the scope is limited for further
progress in our APR score for 2005/06 while those with lower scores
will be trying hard to reach the top range of scores. The settlement
letter makes clear, as does advice from GOSE officials, that performance
will be increasingly judged on performance in delivering transport schemes
and the outcomes of those schemes in meeting our LTP targets. This advice
serves to emphasise that all the transport capital funding needs to
be spent on transport schemes in pursuit of our objectives if we are
to stay among the top performers.
- The "well above
average" rating resulted in the block allocation for integrated transport
measures including reward funding of £2.4m for our ranking and an improved
performance bonus of £0.336 for our progress up the rankings compared
to last year. Maintenance allocations nationally were awarded on a formulaic
basis and did not attract any reward funding. As will become clear,
this additional funding will be spent across the range of budget headings
for integrated transport measures in the programme to keep these budgets
at around the provisional figures in the March 2003 and October 2003
reports. Cost increases on major schemes in progress, or with payments
still to be made against them, plus preparation costs of major schemes
not allowed for in last year’s provisional figures, have put pressure
on the other budget headings.
- In addition to
SCE(R) funding, the Capital Programme includes funding from developer
contributions to transport schemes, On-Street Parking Account Surplus,
and other funding which is mostly grant awarded for specific schemes.
These other funding sources bring the total of the Capital Programme
put forward for approval to £33.95m. Annex 1 (download
as .doc file) gives the breakdown of all sources of funding
across the various budget headings and a comparison to the provisional
programme figures agreed in March 2003.
Programming
Issues
- Spending at this
level will continue to be a challenge for transport staff, and our consultants
and contractors. However, we start 2004/05 in a better position than
in past years. This is because the majority of schemes were previously
in the 2003/04 programme but could not be constructed due to a combination
of the £2m carry over-programming built into that programme, the need
to take a £1m contribution to Council reserves out of this programme
that had not been possible to make as planned in 2002/03, and cost increases
on major schemes. This has resulted in a pool of schemes with design
work completed and ready to start early in 2004/05.
- Having created
this headway in scheme preparation in advance of the programme year
for construction, the essential thing now is to keep that headway by
identifying and funding design work in 2004/05 for schemes to be built
in 2005/06. This will create a much more predictable and reliable programme
allowing consultant and contractor to more effectively plan their resourcing,
to both be involved in the project teams, and thus to identify the most
efficient ways of building the schemes.
- In retrospect,
the amount of over-programming included in the 2003/04 programme produced
a considerable degree of uncertainty for all parties as to what would
actually get constructed in that year. Although the end result can be
seen as beneficial in having a bank of worked up schemes, the better
method for the future is seen to be to positively identify schemes for
design work only within the programme as discussed above. Nevertheless,
some degree of over-programming amounting to £0.983m has been included
in the 2004/05 programme because of the difficult choices between the
strong pressures to include all of the schemes from 2003/04 and the
imperatives of priorities for 2004/05. In the interests of good programme
control, this over-programming is made up of specifically identified
reserve schemes that will not be built unless other schemes slip.
- The various budgets
within the Transport Capital Programme strike a balance between:
- pursuit of the
County Council’s priorities for 2004/05 of improving local road conditions
and improving bus patronage;
- improvements
to BVPI scores and progress towards casualty reduction targets;
- the expectation
in towns with Integrated Transport Strategies and of other communities
requesting schemes important to them;
- commitments
to major schemes built or planned;
- the need to
show that progress is being made across the whole range of LTP objectives
and targets including increasing journeys by pedestrians and cyclists.
Proposed
Programme
- As a starting
point, the Structural Maintenance budget has been set at the settlement
of £11.017m. This includes £1.5m payback of capital loan as planned
in the provisional figures from last year with an SCE(R) of £9.517 m
to make up the total. This is an increase of £1m over 2003/04 but also
sees through the plan of front loading maintenance in the early years
of the LTP period and restoring the balance with integrated transport
measures in the later years.
- Together with
revenue budget increases for highway maintenance in 2004/05, this provides
a helpful increase over the 2003/04 budgets. However, the increase falls
well short of the £4m of repairs needed to last summer's drought damage
before beginning to think about how to achieve the Council's priority
and improve BVPI scores for non-principal roads.
- One of the main
differences to the provisional 2004/05 budget is the amount of SCE(R)
required for major transport schemes listed individually in the programme.
The SCE(R) allocated to major schemes is £4.285m compared to £0.800m
in the provisional programme. Annex 1 provides a scheme by scheme comparison.
- The two biggest
contributors to this increased spend are the cost increases on the Hennef
Way Dualling Scheme in Banbury and on the Cornmarket paving scheme in
Oxford. Funding the Oxford Expressway (GTE) project to the point of
Transport & Works Act submission, design fees for improving Marcham
Bypass to the planning application stage, and funding for the early
stages of the Green Road Roundabout scheme are the other significant
contributors to the total SCE(R) provision for major schemes.
- The total cost
for the Hennef Way scheme is predicted to be £8.940m, an increase of
£3.164m over the original Project Appraisal cost of £5.776m approved
in June 2001. Redesign of the bridge over the railway after contract
award so as to gain Railtrack approval has been the main contributor
to increased costs, plus increased costs for other bridges, winter working
and time extension beyond the contractor’s original programme. To date
nearly 150 Compensation Events claims have been submitted by the contractors.
The allocation in the 2004/05 programme is the best assessment of the
payments due to the contractor and include a substantial contingency
for further claims.
- The revised cost
of the Cornmarket scheme is £5.109m as compared to the project appraisal
estimate of £2.739 m. This takes account of the settlement reached with
consultant and contractors on payment to the County Council for abortive
costs incurred on the failed granite block carriageway. The settlement
is the subject of a confidentiality agreement between all the parties.
The 2004/05 budget allows for the £1.855 m contribution from Oxford
City Council to the cost of this scheme.
- The main reasons
for the additional costs have been the need to work around the uncharted,
or incorrectly charted, utility mains and cables, and the extent of
work needed to structurally check and repair each cellar roof exposed
by the works.
- The budgets for
the Integrated Transport Strategies anticipate the agreement of strategies
for Didcot and Henley. Although the SCE(R) proportion of the overall
budget is £4.049m compared to the provisional figure of £4.600m, the
addition of developer contributions, on-street parking account surplus
and other funding bring the total budget for the year to £7.038m. The
budget for most towns is close to the provisional figure; the programmes
for each town are as agreed with and expected by the relevant ITS Steering
Groups.
- The general pattern
across the ITS programmes for all the towns is for most of the schemes
to be constructed to come from the 2003/04 programme list with a similar
number of new schemes included for design within 2004/05 ready for construction
in 2005/06.
- In the Community
Safety (Transport) programme, all the schemes included for construction
as a result of going through the priority assessment procedure are from
the 2003/04 programme. There is a waiting list of worthwhile schemes
to be done but it is not possible to include any new schemes from this
list for construction in 2004/05. However, fees for the design of schemes
from this list have been included in the 2004/05 budget for the schemes
in 2005/06.
- The Casualty Reduction
Schemes programme is larger than 2003/04 but below the provisional programme
budget level. About half of the schemes have come from the 2003/04 list
but the other half are new additions to the programme.
- The Sustainable
Transport programme in total is close to that planned in the provisional
figures due to the inclusion of developer contributions and on-street
parking account surpluses. The Better Ways to School budget allows for
completion of all outstanding work from programmes A, B and C plus design
on programme D. No work will be done on programme E. It is planned to
review whether this is still the best approach in the light of the Government’s
School Travel Action Plan initiative, including making capital grants
direct to schools who put in place an approved Travel Plan. A fuller
report on the School Travel Action Plan initiative will be presented
to the Executive later in the year. The majority of the cycling schemes
budget is for two schemes already designed and ready to go. The Public
Transport budget is aimed at supporting achievement of PSA target by
including investment on Premium Bus Routes, on Thornhill Park &
Ride upgrading and Real Time Passenger Information. A budget of £100k
is included for rail station developments (refer to the report to the
4 March Executive on rail travel generally).
- A project appraisal
for the upgrading of Thornhill Park & Ride is included with the
report as Annex 2.
- A cautious approach
has been taken to the availability of on-street parking account surpluses
in compiling this programme. Accumulated surpluses have been spent and
future availability will depend on what the surpluses are from year
to year. In addition to funding for appropriate schemes in the Transport
Capital programme, any surpluses will also be needed for the short term
to support the operational costs of the Water Eaton and Thornhill Park
& Ride sites. Subject to the legal constraints that apply to on-street
parking account income and surpluses, this could also be an appropriate
funding source for the expansion of de-criminalised parking to the whole
of the County. This project has been accepted in principle by the Executive
but to date no budget has been identified for it.
- Pressure to introduce
countywide de-criminalised parking could increase if the provisions
of the Traffic Management Bill become law – this would empower government
to instruct a traffic authority to introduce a scheme covering their
entire area. It is suggested that when the on-street parking account
for 2003/04 is finalised, the feasibility of using on-street parking
funding for a phased introduction of de-criminalised parking across
the County is looked at again.
Future
Years’ Programmes
- We will of course
be striving to produce an even better Annual Progress Report to submit
this year to keep us in the top ranking authorities but it would be
unsafe to assume that we will get reward funding again, or at the same
level, in 2005/06. This is a comparative exercise and performance of
other authorities is not in our control nor is the availability of money
for the government office to hand out as reward money. The advice from
government office officials is to plan on the basis of the previous
indicative figures of SCE(R) around £20m. In 2006/07 we will be in the
first year of a new five year LTP period and a planning figure for that
year is less certain, but a reasonable assumption would be a settlement
of around £20m again.
- Given these planning
figures, the provisional programme for 2005/06 at £27.6m for SCE(R)
cannot be met in full. If ITS and other programmes in 2006/07 stay at
the same level as the 2005/06 provisional figures, then the addition
of major schemes pushes the SCE(R) requirement up to £30m for that year.
There is an opportunity to bid for higher funding in the next LTP period
so, given some inevitable uncertainties attached to major schemes in
particular, and the possible availability of other funding not completely
known at this time, this is not the moment to decide to reprogramme
these schemes. A continuous review process will be used to identify
pressures as they are identified throughout the year and consider what
reprogramming is required to produce a realistic future programme.
Financial
and Staff Implications
- The financial
implications are set out in the report. Assessment, promotion and design
of schemes will be undertaken by a combination of existing staff, Halcrow
as our Term Consultant for Transport Planning, Babtie Group as our Term
Consultant for enforcing design, and by other specific consultants.
RECOMMENDATIONS
- The Executive
is RECOMMENDED to:
- approve
the detailed Transport Capital Programme for 2004/05 and the
provisional programmes for 2005/06 as set out in the booklet
accompanying the report subject to adjustment of the 2005/06
programme to match the available finance in that year;
- approve
the Project Appraisal for the upgrading of Thornhill Park &
Ride site; and
- request
the Head of Transport to report on progress on the Transport
Capital Programme in October 2004.
DAVID
McKIBBIN
HEAD OF TRANSPORT
CHRIS GRAY
HEAD OF FINANCE
Background papers: Nil
Contact
Officer: Richard Dix Tel: Oxford 815663
March
2004
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